Hurricanes are limiting the mangrove canopy heights in the Gulf of Mexico.

Mangrove canopy height (MCH) has been described as a leading characteristic of mangrove forests, protecting coastal economic interests from hurricanes. Meanwhile, winter temperature has been considered the main factor controlling the MCH along subtropical coastlines. However, the MCH in Cedar Key, Florida (∼12 m), is significantly higher than in Port Fourchon, Louisiana (∼2.5 m), even though these two subtropical locations have similar winter temperatures. Port Fourchon has been more frequently impacted by hurricanes than Cedar Key, suggesting that hurricanes may have limited the MCH in Port Fourchon rather than simply winter temperatures. This hypothesis was evaluated using novel high-resolution remote sensing techniques that tracked the MCH changes between 2002 and 2023. Results indicate that hurricanes were the limiting factor keeping the mean MCH at Port Fourchon to <1 m (2002-2013), as the absence of hurricane impacts between 2013 and 2018 allowed the mean MCH to increase by 60 cm despite the winter freezes in Jan/2014 and Jan/2018. Hurricanes Zeta (2020) and Ida (2021) caused a decrease in the mean MCH by 20 cm, breaking branches, defoliating the canopy, and toppling trees. The mean MCH (∼1.6 m) attained before Zeta and Ida has not yet been recovered as of August 2023 (∼1.4 m), suggesting a longer-lasting impact (>4 years) of hurricanes on mangroves than winter freezes (<1 year). The high frequency of hurricanes affecting mangroves at Port Fourchon has acted as a periodic "pruning," particularly of the tallest Avicennia trees, inhibiting their natural growth rates even during quiet periods following hurricane events (e.g., 12 cm/yr, 2013-2018). By contrast, the absence of hurricanes in Cedar Key (2000-2020) has allowed the MCH to reach 12 m (44-50 cm/yr), implying that, besides the winter temperature, the frequency and intensity of hurricanes are important factors limiting the MCH on their latitudinal range limits in the Gulf of Mexico.

An integrated methodology for assessing ecosystem response to environmental stressors under changing climatic conditions in coastal wetlands.

Three cores were taken along the salinity gradient (n-s) in the coastal wetlands of Louisiana; an intermediate marsh, a brackish marsh, and a mangrove swamp. The cores display remarkable stratigraphic and chronologic correlations, representing six successive ecosystems and environments, namely: interdistributary bay, freshwater marsh/swamp, deltaic lake, freshwater marsh/swamp, intermediate marsh, and brackish/saline. Sedimentary, geochemical, and palynological data were used to reconstruct the paleoenvironments, including ambient environment and ecosystem types. Concentrations of Ba and Br, along with six elemental ratios (Ca/Rb, Zr/Rb, Ti/Rb, K/Ti, Mn/Rb, S/Rb), were employed to infer proxies for a range of environmental conditions (waterlogging, redox levels), depositional processes (fluvial vs marine or in situ), and sediment characteristics (grain size). Correlating the identification of environment types, inferred depositional processes, and the known history of the Mississippi delta cycle with the ecosystem reconstruction provides insight into ecosystem response to a variety of stresses, which information can be used to better understand and predict present and future responses to the ongoing stresses. Additionally, a simple elemental ratio (Zr/Rb) was used to produce a continuous (2 cm resolution) estimate of grain size along the length of the cores. The close correlation between the estimated grain size and measured samples shows that this ratio is a valid method for quickly assessing rough grain size, and is especially useful for identifying sedimentary inflection points.

A timely method for post-disaster assessment and coastal landscape survey using drone and satellite imagery.

To mitigate floods and storm surges, coastal communities across the globe are under the pressure of high-cost interventions, such as coastal barriers, jetties, and renourishment projects, especially in areas prone to hurricanes and other natural disturbances. To evaluate the effectiveness of these coastal projects in a timely fashion, this methodology is supported by a Geographic Information System that is instaneously fed by regional and local data obtained shortly (24 h) after the disturbance event. Our study assesses the application of 3D models based on aerophotogrammetry from a Phantom 4 RTK drone, following a methodological flowchart with three phases. The Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) based on aerophotogrammetry obtained from a Phantom 4 RTK drone presented a low margin of error (± 5 cm) to dispense Ground Control Points. This technique enables a rapid assessment of inaccessible coastal areas due, for instance, to hurricane impacts. Evaluation of DEMs before and after the disturbance event allows quantifying the magnitudes of shoreline retreat, storm surges, difference in coastal sedimentary volumes, and identifying areas where erosion and sediment accretion occur. Orthomosaics permit the individualization and quantification of changes in vegetation units/geomorphological areas and damages to urban and coastal infrastructure. Our experience monitoring coastal dynamics in North and South America during the last decade indicates that this methodology provides an essential data flow for short and long-term decision-making regarding strategies to mitigate disaster impacts.•Permanent and regional monitoring with spatial-temporal analysis based on satellite/aerial images and lidar data prior to the event.•Local DEMs based on drone aerophotogrammetry after the event.•Integration of regional and local planialtimetric/environmental data.

Pollen atlas and identification dataset from Santa Catarina, south Brazil.

Pollen references such as atlas and identification keys are remarkably rare from the Atlantic coasts of south Brazil. This dataset describes modern and fossil pollen from São Francisco do Sul Bay in the state of Santa Catarina, south Brazil. An illustrated and descriptive atlas of pollen was compiled from original and published data to facilitate the identification of various pollen taxa in sediments. We include light micrographs and descriptions of a total of 60 pollen taxa, including 3 mangrove taxa, 27 coastal woodland (restinga) taxa, and 15 rainforest taxa, and 15 herbaceous taxa. This dataset is associated with a published research article by Rodrigues et al. (2022) - Rodrigues, E., Cohen, M.C.L., Pessenda, L.C.R., França, M.C., Magalhães, E. and Yao, Q., 2022. Poleward mangrove expansion in South America coincides with MCA and CWP: A diatom, pollen, and organic geochemistry study. Quaternary Science Reviews, 288, p.107598.

An improved preparation procedure for pollen samples from coastal clastic sediments.

Palynological analysis is a time-tested analytical method in the field of geology, geography, and archaeology across the globe. However, a major problem in palynology is that due to the dynamic nature of coastal and lake settings, sediment samples from these environments usually contain large proportion of clastic materials that are difficult to remove and isolate from pollen grains. In this study, we present a step-by-step procedure of an optimized preparation method to eliminate the organic and clastic materials and concentrate the pollen grains. We also present some insights on how to prepare a clean microscopic slide with intact pollen grains. We believe this procedure can successfully eliminate organic and clastic materials and concentrate the pollen grains to produce an ideal microscopic slide for pollen analysis.•Extract samples and eliminate carbonate materials with hydrochloric acid.•Remove organic materials with potassium hydroxide.•Remove clastic materials with sieving and hydrofluoric acid.

A palynological record of mangrove biogeography, coastal geomorphological change, and prehistoric human activities from Cedar Keys, Florida, U.S.A.

Under the continuous warming trend in the 21st century, mangroves are likely to migrate into more temperate regions in North and South America. However, the biogeography of different mangrove species is still unclear, especially near their latitudinal range limits in the two continents. This study utilizes palynological, geochemical, and sedimentological analyses to record changes in the coastal morphology and vegetation during the Holocene in Cedar Keys, Florida, the mangrove sub-range limit in North America. The multi-proxy dataset indicates that the milder winters during the Medieval Climate Anomaly likely facilitated the establishment of mangroves in the study region, where Avicennia, Laguncularia, and Rhizophora were established in the ~12th (790-850 cal yr BP), ~14th (580-660 cal yr BP), and ~ 16th century (440-460 cal yr BP), respectively. Thus, the Medieval Climate Anomaly likely triggered the poleward mangrove migration in North and South America synchronously. Moreover, the multi-proxy dataset also documents the obliteration of the Woodland Culture near Cedar Keys, where a once-thriving native civilization on Seahorse Key was driven out by the European colonizers, who settled on the mainland and Atsena Otie Key. Over time, the relict sites of the Woodland people on Seahorse Key were covered by mangroves and marsh vegetation since the ~16th century. Overall, our dataset suggests that industrial-era warming may have intensified the poleward mangrove expansion, although this trend had started earlier during the Medieval Climate Anomaly.

Pre-treatment method to avoid contamination for radiocarbon dating of organic-rich coastal deposits.

Establishing an accurate chronology for coastal sediment profiles using radiocarbon dating has been a challenging task for scientists around the world. In this study, we present a step-by-step procedure of an optimized pre-treatment method to remove roots, shell hashes, and other contaminants from organic-rich bulk sediments for radiocarbon dating. This procedure first applies loss-on-ignition analysis throughout the sediment profile to locate the ideal sampling intervals that have high organic and low carbonate contents, and then uses a two-step sieving procedure to remove contaminants from the bulk sediments. During the past five years, we have prepared a total of 64 samples for radiocarbon dating using this pre-treatment method, and 59 of them were deemed valid, a success rate of 92.2%. Thus, we believe this procedure can successfully remove contamination and optimize the sample pre-treatment for radiocarbon dating of organic-rich deposits from coastal and other environments.•Use loss-on-ignition analysis to locate the ideal sampling intervals.•Sieve each sample with 200 µm and then 100 µm sieve to remove roots and organic debris.•Acid-leach each of the sieved sediment samples (100-200 µm) with HCL to remove carbonates.

The use of multivariate PCA dataset in identifying the underlying drivers of critical stressors, looking at global problems through a local lens.

Palynology-based multivariate datasets including geological, ecological, and geochemical data identified the relative importance of the underlying drivers of critical stressors to coastal wetlands by identifying and distinguishing between fluvial flooding, saline water intrusion, delta switching, and the landward migration of coastal plants. A sediment core was retrieved using a vibracorer from an intermediate marsh in Lake Salvador, Louisiana, USA. X-ray Fluorescence (XRF) quantified fluvial and marine elemental concentrations (Cl, Sr, Ca, Mn, K, Ti, Fe, Zn, Zr, Br). Palynology-based agglomerate hierarchical analysis of thirty-two pollen taxa was employed to define ecological clusters. The implementation of multivariate principal component analysis (PCA) to geochemical and ecological variables inferred the source of sedimentary material by correlating four taxonomic groups (floodplain trees, upland trees, tidal freshwater herbs, and inland herbs) to specific geochemical signatures and facilitated the testing of potential correlations between geo- and hydrological-conditions and the six ecosystems (interdistributary, delta-plain, deltaic lake, bottomland and swamp forests, freshwater marsh, and intermediate marsh) depicted in each PCA biplot. The PCA scores quantified the relative importance of multiple variables. The squared cosine function, which demonstrates the relative importance of a variable for a given observation, was used to estimate the representation of each variable on the principal component biplots. Multivariate statistical datasets can be valuable to any scientist working across the spectrum of environmental and planetary science fields as a means of identifying the relative importance of diverse background parameters in controlling ecological and environmental conditions. This methodology is applicable across both natural and social sciences as a means of distinguishing natural and anthropogenic impacts.

Identifying forcing agents of environmental change and ecological response on the Mississippi River Delta, Southeastern Louisiana.

Freshwater wetlands on the Mississippi River delta plain, containing extensive swamps and marshes, have experienced land loss of 5197 km2 since the 1930s as the ocean has transgressed landward, resulting in landward retreat of bottomland forest, and transition of fresh to intermediate marsh. The timing and rapidity of these ecotonal transitions, and the impacts of natural and anthropogenic forces on this deltaic environment are uncertain. This study details a 448 cm sediment core retrieved from the intermediate marsh on the northern edge of Lake Salvador in southeastern Louisiana. Multi-proxy data identify six ecological shifts since 3500 BP. The ecosystem has shifted from interdistributary environment with high concentrations of such terrestrial and marine elements as Ca, Zr (3.5-3.0 cal kyr BP), to a freshwater deltaic-plain with an increase in freshwater herbs and trees (3.0-2.6 cal kyr BP), to a lacustrine environment marked by high Mn, Fe concentrations (2.6-2.2 cal kyr BP), to a swamp ecosystem with high concentrations of Zn, Br (2.2-1.4 cal kyr BP), to freshwater marsh with an increase in marsh plants (1.4-0.3 cal kyr BP), and to an intermediate marsh marked by Typha and Baccharis with elevated marine elements (since 0.3 cal kyr BP). The study identified the external forcing agents driving each deltaic environmental transition using multivariable analyses. Ecosystem dynamics are highly associated with the St. Bernard deltaic cycles, with dominant fluvial processes introducing freshwater ecosystems while forming geomorphological features such as levees, oxbow lakes, and back swamp and marsh during delta progradation. Thereafter, reduced sediment supply and decreased freshwater flow during delta transgression caused land subsidence and uneven topography. As a result, the swamp converted to marsh. Eighteenth century logging and canal development by Activities from French and Spanish settlements reduced the cypress forests and enlarged the coastal lakes.

A multi-proxy record of hurricanes, tsunami, and post-disturbance ecosystem changes from coastal southern Baja California.

Tsunamis and hurricanes are two earth surface processes that can dramatically impact coastal landforms and ecosystems. This study uses a combination of palynological, grain-size, X-ray fluorescence, and loss-on-ignition analyses, short-lived isotopic and radiocarbon dating, and statistical analysis to differentiate the tsunami and hurricane deposits, establish a Late-Holocene record of extreme events, and document the landscape and vegetation transformation in response to disturbance events and environmental changes from a small coastal lagoon in Baja California, Mexico. Prior to ~530 cal yr BP, Playa Los Cocos was occupied by a short-hydroperiod tidal marsh bounded by desert vegetation on the surrounding hillslopes. At ~530 cal yr BP, a tsunami created a backbarrier lagoon and introduced mangrove propagules from other coastal localities, and the lagoonal environment and substrates also provided suitable habitats for red mangroves to proliferate. Once established, red mangrove populations rapidly expanded until ~180 cal yr BP, when modern human activities diminished the mangrove forest in our study area. Overall, the multi-proxy dataset revealed four hurricane events at ~770, ~600, ~280, and ~0 cal yr BP, and one tsunami event at ~530 cal yr BP. The hurricane deposits were preserved in the form of fluvial and slope-wash deposits characterized by low organic and water contents, low concentration of marine elements, and high concentration of terrestrial elements. The tsunami run-up deposits are characterized by abundant broken and intact sea shells, high content of carbonate and marine elements, low concentration of terrestrial elements, and sharp basal contact with the underlying sediments. The tsunami backwash deposits are characterized by a mixed physical and chemical signature resembling both marine and terrestrial sediments. Results also suggest that both hurricanes and tsunamis can help propagule dispersal and create suitable coastal habitats favorable for the spread and proliferation of mangroves in a desert coastal environment.

Position and orientation of the westerly jet determined Holocene rainfall patterns in China.

Proxy-based reconstructions and modeling of Holocene spatiotemporal precipitation patterns for China and Mongolia have hitherto yielded contradictory results indicating that the basic mechanisms behind the East Asian Summer Monsoon and its interaction with the westerly jet stream remain poorly understood. We present quantitative reconstructions of Holocene precipitation derived from 101 fossil pollen records and analyse them with the help of a minimal empirical model. We show that the westerly jet-stream axis shifted gradually southward and became less tilted since the middle Holocene. This was tracked by the summer monsoon rain band resulting in an early-Holocene precipitation maximum over most of western China, a mid-Holocene maximum in north-central and northeastern China, and a late-Holocene maximum in southeastern China. Our results suggest that a correct simulation of the orientation and position of the westerly jet stream is crucial to the reliable prediction of precipitation patterns in China and Mongolia.

Past and future global transformation of terrestrial ecosystems under climate change.

Impacts of global climate change on terrestrial ecosystems are imperfectly constrained by ecosystem models and direct observations. Pervasive ecosystem transformations occurred in response to warming and associated climatic changes during the last glacial-to-interglacial transition, which was comparable in magnitude to warming projected for the next century under high-emission scenarios. We reviewed 594 published paleoecological records to examine compositional and structural changes in terrestrial vegetation since the last glacial period and to project the magnitudes of ecosystem transformations under alternative future emission scenarios. Our results indicate that terrestrial ecosystems are highly sensitive to temperature change and suggest that, without major reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to the atmosphere, terrestrial ecosystems worldwide are at risk of major transformation, with accompanying disruption of ecosystem services and impacts on biodiversity.

Dynamics of marsh-mangrove ecotone since the mid-Holocene: A palynological study of mangrove encroachment and sea level rise in the Shark River Estuary, Florida.

Sea level rise and the associated inland shift of the marsh-mangrove ecotone in south Florida have raised many scientific and management concerns in recent years. Holocene paleoecological records can provide an important baseline to shed light on the long-term dynamics of vegetation changes across this ecotone in the past, which is needed to predict the future. In this study, we present palynological, X-ray fluorescence, and loss-on ignition data from four sedimentary cores recovered from a 20-km marine-to-freshwater transect along the Shark River Estuary, southwest Everglades, to document the patterns and processes of coastal vegetation changes in response to sea level rise since the mid-Holocene. Our record indicates that freshwater marsh progressively replaced marl prairies at the Shark River Estuary between 5700 and 4400 cal yr BP. As marine transgression continued, marine influence reached the threshold necessary for mangroves to establish at the current mouth of the Shark River Slough at 3800 cal yr BP. During the next 3000 years, although sea level rise in the Western North Atlantic slowed down to 0.4 mm/yr, a spatial and temporal gradient was evident as the marsh-mangrove ecotone shifted inland by 20 km from 3800 to 800 cal yr BP, accompanied by a gradual landward replacement of freshwater marsh by mangrove forest. If sea level continues to rise at 2.33 mm/yr in the 21st century in south Florida, it is possible that marine influence will reach the threshold for mangroves to establish in the central Everglades, and we could expect a much more aggressive mangrove encroachment toward the northern and interior parts of south Florida in the next few centuries.

Persistent northward North Atlantic tropical cyclone track migration over the past five centuries.

Accurately predicting future tropical cyclone risk requires understanding the fundamental controls on tropical cyclone dynamics. Here we present an annually-resolved 450-year reconstruction of western Caribbean tropical cyclone activity developed using a new coupled carbon and oxygen isotope ratio technique in an exceptionally well-dated stalagmite from Belize. Western Caribbean tropical cyclone activity peaked at 1650 A.D., coincident with maximum Little Ice Age cooling, and decreased gradually until the end of the record in 1983. Considered with other reconstructions, the new record suggests that the mean track of Cape Verde tropical cyclones shifted gradually north-eastward from the western Caribbean toward the North American east coast over the last 450 years. Since ~1870 A.D., these shifts were largely driven by anthropogenic greenhouse gas and sulphate aerosol emissions. Our results strongly suggest that future emission scenarios will result in more frequent tropical cyclone impacts on the financial and population centres of the northeastern United States.

Re-Evaluating the Geological Evidence for Late Holocene Marine Incursion Events along the Guerrero Seismic Gap on the Pacific Coast of Mexico.

Despite the large number of tsunamis that impact Mexico's Pacific coast, stratigraphic studies focusing on geological impacts are scanty, making it difficult to assess the long-term risks for this vulnerable region. Surface samples and six cores were taken from Laguna Mitla near Acapulco to examine sedimentological and geochemical evidence for marine incursion events. Sediment cores collected from behind the beach barrier are dominated by intercalated layers of peat and inorganic sediments, mostly silt and clay, with little or no sand. Sand- and shell-rich clastic layers with high levels of sulfur, calcium, and strontium only occur adjacent to the relict beach ridge remnants near the center of the lagoon. With the exception of one thin fine sand layer, the absence of sand in the near-shore cores and the predominance of the terrigenous element titanium in the inorganic layers, evidently eroded from the surrounding hillslopes, suggests that these large-grained intervals do not represent episodic marine incursions, but rather were likely formed by the erosion and redeposition of older marine deposits derived from the beach ridge remnants when water levels were high. These results do not support the occurrence of a large tsunami event at Laguna Mitla during the Late Holocene.

Earliest domestication of common millet (Panicum miliaceum) in East Asia extended to 10,000 years ago.

The origin of millet from Neolithic China has generally been accepted, but it remains unknown whether common millet (Panicum miliaceum) or foxtail millet (Setaria italica) was the first species domesticated. Nor do we know the timing of their domestication and their routes of dispersal. Here, we report the discovery of husk phytoliths and biomolecular components identifiable solely as common millet from newly excavated storage pits at the Neolithic Cishan site, China, dated to between ca. 10,300 and ca. 8,700 calibrated years before present (cal yr BP). After ca. 8,700 cal yr BP, the grain crops began to contain a small quantity of foxtail millet. Our research reveals that the common millet was the earliest dry farming crop in East Asia, which is probably attributed to its excellent resistance to drought.

Phytoliths analysis for the discrimination of Foxtail millet (Setaria italica) and Common millet (Panicum miliaceum).

Foxtail millet (Setaria italica) and Common millet (Panicum miliaceum) are the oldest domesticated dry farming crops in Eurasia. Identifying these two millets in the archaeobotanical remains are still problematic, especially because the millet grains preserve only when charred. Phytoliths analysis provides a viable method for identifying this important crop. However, to date, the identification of millet phytoliths has been questionable, because very little study has been done on their morphometry and taxonomy. Particularly, no clear diagnostic feature has been used to distinguish between Foxtail millet and Common millet. Here we examined the anatomy and silicon structure patterns in the glumes, lemmas, and paleas from the inflorescence bracts in 27 modern plants of Foxtail millet, Common millet, and closely related grasses, using light microscopy with phase-contrast and microscopic interferometer. Our research shows that five key diagnostic characteristics in phytolith morphology can be used to distinguish Foxtail millet from Common millet based on the presence of cross-shaped type, regularly arranged papillae, Omega-undulated type, endings structures of epidermal long cell, and surface ridgy line sculpture in the former species. We have established identification criteria that, when used together, give the only reliable way of distinguishing between Foxtail millet and Common millet species based on their phytoliths characteristics, thus making a methodological contribution to phytolith research. Our findings also have important implications in the fields of plant taxonomy, agricultural archaeology, and the culture history of ancient civilizations.

Ecotone shift and major droughts during the mid-late Holocene in the central Tibetan Plateau.

A well-dated pollen record from a large lake located on the meadow-steppe ecotone provides a history of ecotone shift in response to monsoonal climate changes over the last 6000 years in the central Tibetan Plateau. The pollen record indicates that the ecotone shifted eastward during 6000-4900, 4400-3900, and 2800-1600 cal. yr BP when steppes occupied this region, whereas it shifted westward during the other intervals when the steppes were replaced by meadows. The quantitative reconstruction of paleoclimate derived from the pollen record shows that monsoon precipitation fluctuated around the present level over the last 6000 years in the central Tibetan Plateau. Three major drought episodes of 5600-4900, 4400-3900, and 2800-2400 cal. yr BP are detected by pollen signals and lake sediments. Comparison of our record with other climatic proxy data from the Tibetan Plateau and other monsoonal regions shows that these episodes are three major centennial-scale monsoon weakening events.

Comment on "Wetland sedimentation from hurricanes Katrina and Rita".

Turner et al. (Reports, 20 October 2006, p. 449) measured sedimentation from Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in coastal Louisiana and inferred that storm deposition overwhelms direct Mississippi River sediment input. However, their annualized hurricane deposition rate is overestimated, whereas riverine deposition is underestimated by at least an order of magnitude. Their numbers do not provide a credible basis for decisions about coastal restoration.

Culinary archaeology: Millet noodles in Late Neolithic China.

Noodles have been a popular staple food in many parts of the world for at least 2,000 years, although it is debatable whether the Chinese, the Italians or the Arabs invented them first. Here we analyse a prehistoric sample of noodles contained in a well preserved, sealed earthenware bowl discovered in the Late Neolithic archaeological site of Lajia in northwestern China. We identify millet as the source of the abundant seed-husk phytoliths and starch grains present in the vessel. This shows that the conversion of ground millet flour into dough that could be repeatedly stretched into long, thin strands for the preparation of boiled noodles was already established in this region 4,000 years ago.